Simply 5 factors separate Premier League strugglers Everton and Crystal Palace forward of their assembly on Monday. Can both aspect enhance their survival hopes? We stay up for the sport with our Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction and preview.
Everton vs Crystal Palace Stats: The Fast Hits
- The Opta supercomputer offers Everton the sting forward of Monday’s six-pointer at Goodison Park, giving the Toffees a 38.4% likelihood of beating Crystal Palace (31.7%).
- Everton’s solely win of their final 11 video games throughout all competitions (5 attracts, 5 defeats) got here at residence to Crystal Palace within the FA Cup in January.
- Sean Dyche has received seven Premier League video games in opposition to Palace, solely beating Bournemouth extra typically (eight occasions). He’s unbeaten in his final seven in opposition to the Eagles since a 2-0 defeat with Burnley in November 2019.
Match Preview
Matchday 25 within the Premier League is rounded off by an enormous relegation six-pointer at Goodison Park, with 18th-placed Everton aiming to pull out-of-form Crystal Palace into the thick of the relegation battle. With their preparations for the sport clouded by uncertainty, the guests might be determined to shrug off their depressing type and put daylight between themselves and the underside three.
Roy Hodgson’s future as Palace boss all the time regarded prone to come below the microscope after final week’s 3-1 defeat to Chelsea, which made it simply two wins in 15 video games throughout all competitions (4 attracts, 9 defeats). Studies have since prompt Oliver Glasner, who led Eintracht Frankfurt to UEFA Europa League glory in 2021-22, is primed to take over.
Hypothesis apart, Hodgson might not be within the Goodison Park dugout even when he’s nonetheless within the job on Monday after being taken unwell at coaching on Friday, although Palace did affirm he’s in a secure situation. Assistants Paddy McCarthy and Ray Lewington might oversee Monday’s recreation, which has taken on important significance.
Jefferson Lerma put Palace forward with a shocking strike final day trip, just for their former loanee Conor Gallagher to attain twice earlier than Enzo Fernández made the factors protected for Chelsea. The Eagles sorely missed the creativity of injured duo Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze final day trip, and so they have now misplaced 5 of their seven league video games this season with out both of the duo of their beginning lineup (one win, one draw).
Of their continued absence, Jean-Philippe Mateta and Jordan Ayew could have to supply creativity. Mateta has truly created extra possibilities from open play (19, 1.49 per 90 minutes) than some other Palace participant within the Premier League this time period, although Olise leads the best way when that metric is adjusted per 90 (1.67).
On the different finish, in the meantime, Palace went into MD 25 on the Premier League’s joint-longest ongoing run with out a clear sheet (13 video games, alongside Nottingham Forest). Marc Guéhi remains to be sidelined with a knee damage, so Chris Richards will probably preserve his place alongside Joachim Andersen.
Whereas Palace are at risk of sinking into the mire, Everton are in rapid peril, going into the weekend a degree adrift of security as they await the end result of an enchantment in opposition to their 10-point deduction for breaching the Premier League’s Revenue and Sustainability Guidelines.
Whereas the Toffees initially rallied after that penalty was handed down and received 4 straight Premier League video games in December, they’ve since gone seven with out victory (three attracts, 4 defeats). The Toffees have solely scored 4 occasions throughout these video games, failing to internet in 4 of their final 5 together with final week’s 2-0 defeat to an Erling Haaland-inspired Manchester Metropolis.
That recreation noticed Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s objective drought stretch to 13 Premier League video games, the striker final netting in a 1-0 win over West Ham final October. He’s now simply two video games away from matching his longest run with out a objective within the Premier League (15 matches).
Whereas Calvert-Lewin’s struggles haven’t helped Everton’s trigger, they’ve additionally been with out main goalscorer Abdoulaye Doucouré for 10 of their final 11 video games throughout all competitions.
Doucouré’s six targets within the Premier League this time period is at the very least twice as many as some other Everton participant (Jack Harrison and Calvert-Lewin have three), and he may very well be concerned on Monday after returning to coaching, although Arnaut Danjuma and André Gomes are nonetheless out.
The omens are good for the Toffees as Dyche prepares to go up in opposition to one in all his favorite opponents. He’s received seven Premier League matches in opposition to Palace, solely beating Bournemouth extra typically (eight occasions). He’s additionally unbeaten in his final seven league video games in opposition to the Eagles (4 wins, three attracts) since a 2-0 defeat with Burnley in November 2019.
If his staff are to drag away from the drop zone, Dyche will depend on the expertise of gamers like Ashley Younger, with the 38-year-old having made 18 league begins this season; the one English outfielder to make extra begins in a single Premier League marketing campaign whereas aged 38 or older is Stuart Pearce (34 for West Ham in 2000-01).
Everton vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head
Monday’s recreation would be the fourth between Everton and Crystal Palace this season. The Toffees received November’s reverse fixture at Selhurst Park by a 3-2 scoreline, with Idrissa Gueye scoring a late winner.
The groups have been then paired collectively within the third spherical of the FA Cup, enjoying out a goalless attract London earlier than Everton received the replay 1-0, courtesy of a shocking Gomes free-kick.
Everton at the moment are focusing on their first league double over Palace because the 2004-05 season, whereas they may handle three wins in opposition to a selected opponent inside a single season for the primary time since 2019-20, once they did so in opposition to Watford.
Palace received 3-2 on back-to-back journeys to Goodison again in 2014, however they’ve didn’t win on any of their eight subsequent visits to the bottom, recording three attracts and 5 defeats in that point.
Latest Kind
Everton’s solely win of their final 11 video games throughout all competitions got here in that aforementioned FA Cup replay in opposition to Palace (5 attracts, 5 defeats).
The Toffees have at the very least taken one thing from their final two residence league video games, although, holding Aston Villa to a goalless attract mid-January earlier than Jarrad Branthwaite’s stoppage-time header salvaged a degree in a 2-2 draw with Tottenham earlier this month.
In the meantime, Palace have struggled on the street recently, shedding their final three away league video games and transport 11 targets within the course of, in opposition to Chelsea (2-1), Arsenal (5-0) and Brighton and Hove Albion (4-1).
They final misplaced extra successive top-flight video games on the street within the 2019-20 season, which they completed with 4 straight street defeats.
Everton vs Crystal Palace Prediction
The Opta supercomputer is siding with the hosts for what must be a close-run affair, with Everton profitable 38.8% of our match simulations forward of kick-off.
Palace are given a 31.6% likelihood of victory, with the factors shared in 29.6% of eventualities.
The Opta supercomputer’s season predictions, in the meantime, Everton are given a 17.6% likelihood of relegation, with Sheffield United (97.7%), Burnley (95.5%), Luton City (47%) and Nottingham Forest (29.7%) all seen as extra prone to drop to the Championship on the time of writing.
Palace are relegated in 9.8% of eventualities, ending fifteenth (22.4%) most frequently throughout our projections.
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