Home NEWS Opta supercomputer predicts Man City and Arsenal’s Champions League quarter-final second-leg chances – and picks a surprising team to reach the final, despite their mixed campaign

Opta supercomputer predicts Man City and Arsenal’s Champions League quarter-final second-leg chances – and picks a surprising team to reach the final, despite their mixed campaign

by Nagoor Vali

A supercomputer has given it is predictions as to who will win the 2023-24 Champions League, with one membership who’ve endured a rollercoaster season, being tipped to make the ultimate. 

Manchester Metropolis and Arsenal are the one English golf equipment left within the match, with Newcastle and Manchester United each crashing out on the group phases. 

Pep Guardiola’s facet welcome Actual Madrid to the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday evening after securing a 3-3 draw towards the LaLiga giants on the Bernabeu final week. 

Arsenal, in the meantime, face the less-than-desirable process of defeating Bayern Munich on the Allianz Area to progress to the semi-finals after Leandro Trossard’s second-half aim secured a 2-2 draw on the Emirates final week. 

Opta have now unveiled either side’ probabilities of reaching the semi-finals of the European match, with the stats company’s supercomputer tipping Mikel Arteta’s facet to fall brief towards Bayern away from dwelling.

Vinicius Jnr's side were held to a 3-3 draw by Man City at the Bernabeu last week

Kevin De Bruyne's side are looking to retain their Champions League title with a victory

Actual Madrid journey to the Etihad Stadium to tackle Manchester Metropolis of their quarter-final tie

Declan Rices' side have not reached the semi-finals of the Champions League since the 2008-09 season

Harry Kane and Bayern Munich will welcome the Gunners to the Allianz stadium for the match

Arsenal and Bayern Munich performed out an exhilarating 2-2 on the Emirates Stadium final week

The statistics company consider Arsenal have a 48 per cent probability of reaching the semi-final, that means their German opponents are being given a 52 per cent benefit.

However regardless of being second favourites to win on Wednesday evening, Opta claims that Arsenal apparently have a higher probability of successful the match with a chance of 8.3 per cent, in comparison with Munich’s 7.7 per cent – that is provided that they progress. 

Bayern are additionally within the midst of an harm disaster after Kingsley Coman sustained an adductor muscle concern throughout Saturday’s 2-0 win towards Cologne. In a press release, Bayern revealed that the France worldwide will miss Wednesday’s fixture and shall be out of motion for a number of weeks. 

‘The harm of Kingsley is extraordinarily bitter with him beginning a sport at present after a really very long time,’ Tuchel mentioned. ‘It appeared extraordinarily painful on TV and it actually will not be sufficient for Wednesday.

‘In a quarter-final you wish to have the selection choices. Perhaps you could play 120 minutes. It is a huge blow for us.’ 

Pep Guardiola's side are the favourtes to regain their Champions League crown this season

Pep Guardiola’s facet are the favourtes to regain their Champions League crown this season

Opta’s Champions League predictions 
Membership Likelihood of reachingthe semi-finals Likelihood of reachingthe finals   Likelihood of successful  
Manchester Metropolis 64.9% 46.5%  31.1% 
Barcelona  76.5%  45.3%  18.4% 
Actual Madrid   35.1%  23.4%  15% 
Atletico Madrid   65%  26.4%  8.7% 
Arsenal   48%  15.1%  8.3% 
Bayern Munich  52%  15%  7.7% 
PSG  23.5%  13.8%  5.8% 
Borussia Dortmund 35%  14.4%  5% 

In the meantime, again in England, Metropolis and Madrid will conflict in a blockbuster showdown on the Etihad Stadium, with Guardiola’s facet being backed to repeat their feats of final season. They’ve been given a 64.9 per cent probability of besting Actual Madrid, having received their final three dwelling video games towards Carlo Ancelotti’s facet. 

Phil Foden was the star of the present throughout their earlier assembly, with the Man Metropolis ahead scoring an impressive long-range effort to assist his facet pull stage with Madrid 2-2, earlier than Josko Gvardiol and Federico Valverde would each scored to make it 3-3. 

Metropolis are additionally being backed to repeat their feats of final season and attain the Champions League last this yr, however in keeping with Opta, they are going to probably come up towards a shocking opponent within the showpiece occasion. 

Barcelona have endured a rollercoaster of a season. They’re at present second in LaLiga, eight factors off their rivals Madrid, and by their requirements have endured a troublesome yr, crashing out of the Copa del Rey quarter-finals to Athletic Bilbao, the place they suffered a 4-2 defeat. They have been additionally crushed 4-1 by Actual Madrid within the last of the Spanish Tremendous Cup whereas sustaining massive defeats within the league to Girona and Villarreal. 

That left many questioning the work of their supervisor Xavi this season, who introduced he can be stepping down because the membership’s supervisor in January. 

Barcelona are being backed to reach the final of the Champions League this season by Opta

Barcelona are being backed to succeed in the ultimate of the Champions League this season by Opta

It comes amid a rollercoaster of a season that saw Xavi announce he'd be leaving the club

It comes amid a rollercoaster of a season that noticed Xavi announce he’d be leaving the membership

Even in gentle of that, he is labored wonders in Europe this season, and a few have argued that Barcelona have develop into a unique facet ever for the reason that former Spain worldwide made the announcement. Amid their combined kind this season, they’re surprisingly being backed to succeed in the ultimate this season, having crushed PSG of their first quarter-final tie 3-2. 

Opta consider the Blaugrana will come up towards Guardiola’s facet within the showpiece, and whereas Barcelona have an 18.4 per cent probability of successful the coveted title, the stats company consider Man Metropolis have a 31.1 per cent of retaining their title. 

Previous to their first leg towards PSG, Barcelona got a 43 per cent probability of constructing the semi-finals. 

They final lifted the title in 2015, which mockingly was Xavi’s last sport for the membership as a participant. 

However what about their rivals, Actual Madrid? Nicely, the 2022 champions, ought to they undergo, have a 23.4 per cent probability of successful the title. 

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