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UK economy rebounds in November

by Nagoor Vali

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The UK economic system rebounded greater than anticipated in November pushed by progress within the providers sector, in response to official figures that ease fears of a technical recession.

Gross home product grew 0.3 per cent month on month in November, following a 0.3 per cent contraction the earlier month, in response to knowledge revealed by the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics on Friday. That was stronger than the 0.2 per cent enlargement forecast by economists polled by Reuters.

Companies output grew 0.4 per cent and was the primary contributor to the month-to-month progress. Manufacturing output grew 0.3 per cent, whereas the development sector fell 0.2 per cent.

Commenting on the GDP figures for the three months to November, ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner mentioned: “GDP bounced again within the month of November . . . led by providers with retail, automotive leasing and pc video games firms all having a buoyant month.”

“The longer-term image stays one in every of an economic system that has proven little progress over the past 12 months,” he added.

Line chart of UK real GDP, Feb 2020=100 showing UK GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.3% in November

The UK economic system marginally contracted within the three months to September, and November’s knowledge increase hopes it is going to keep away from shrinking within the ultimate quarter of 2023. Some economists outline two consecutive quarters of financial contraction as a technical recession. 

The economic system largely stagnated via final 12 months, reflecting the affect of excessive costs and borrowing prices on family funds and enterprise exercise. In November output was solely 0.2 per cent up from the identical month in 2022. 

Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, mentioned: “Whereas progress in November is welcome information, will probably be slower as we carry inflation again to its 2 per cent goal. However we’ve seen that superior economies with decrease taxes have grown extra quickly, so our tax cuts for companies and employees put the UK in a robust place for progress into the long run.”

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